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	<title>Comments for BayesRules</title>
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	<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com</link>
	<description>Just another WordPress.com weblog</description>
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		<title>Comment on HCOL 195 11/09/09 by I&#8217;ve commented on Monday&#8217;s class &#171; BayesRules</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/11/11/hcol-195-110909/#comment-76</link>
		<dc:creator>I&#8217;ve commented on Monday&#8217;s class &#171; BayesRules</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 18:38:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=727#comment-76</guid>
		<description>[...] commented on Monday&#8217;s&#160;class By bayesrules  I&#8217;ve commented on Monday&#8217;s class here. Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)Darkness [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] commented on Monday&#8217;s&nbsp;class By bayesrules  I&#8217;ve commented on Monday&#8217;s class here. Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)Darkness [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on URLs mentioned on Thursday by Jeff</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/04/17/urls-mentioned-on-thursday/#comment-24</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2009 17:51:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=520#comment-24</guid>
		<description>correction: comments start on page 335.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>correction: comments start on page 335.</p>
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		<title>Comment on URLs mentioned on Thursday by Jeff</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/04/17/urls-mentioned-on-thursday/#comment-23</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2009 17:51:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=520#comment-23</guid>
		<description>for paper listed in item #1, it is also worthwhile to read the comments on the article by several prominent statisticians, including d.r. cox.  the comments start on page 337.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>for paper listed in item #1, it is also worthwhile to read the comments on the article by several prominent statisticians, including d.r. cox.  the comments start on page 337.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Stat 295,  April 16, 2009 by bayesrules</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/04/17/stat-295-april-16-2009/#comment-22</link>
		<dc:creator>bayesrules</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2009 17:49:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=514#comment-22</guid>
		<description>I take Jeff&#039;s point.

Please note that &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.jstor.org/stable/2245772&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Berger and Delampady&lt;/a&gt; have an extensive discussion of this (and other) points in their paper. See Section 4.5.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I take Jeff&#8217;s point.</p>
<p>Please note that <a href="http://www.jstor.org/stable/2245772" rel="nofollow">Berger and Delampady</a> have an extensive discussion of this (and other) points in their paper. See Section 4.5.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>Comment on STAT 295 4/7/09 by bayesrules</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/04/08/stat-295-4709/#comment-17</link>
		<dc:creator>bayesrules</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2009 14:45:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=445#comment-17</guid>
		<description>This is an interesting article, worth reading. 

Bill</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an interesting article, worth reading. </p>
<p>Bill</p>
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	<item>
		<title>Comment on STAT 295 4/7/09 by Jeff</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/04/08/stat-295-4709/#comment-14</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2009 19:26:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=445#comment-14</guid>
		<description>bill and everyone in class,

regarding the questions about model assessment bill is raising--i think the paper by r little in the american statistician, 2006 number 3,  gives a good discussion of how a bayesian might assess his/her models.

if you have a look, let me know what you think.

jeff</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>bill and everyone in class,</p>
<p>regarding the questions about model assessment bill is raising&#8211;i think the paper by r little in the american statistician, 2006 number 3,  gives a good discussion of how a bayesian might assess his/her models.</p>
<p>if you have a look, let me know what you think.</p>
<p>jeff</p>
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	<item>
		<title>Comment on Short assignment, due 3/26 by Stat 295, 3/24/09 &#171; BayesRules</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/03/24/short-assignment-due-326/#comment-9</link>
		<dc:creator>Stat 295, 3/24/09 &#171; BayesRules</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2009 20:03:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=318#comment-9</guid>
		<description>[...] BayesRules Just another WordPress.com weblog      &#171; Short assignment, due&#160;3/26 [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] BayesRules Just another WordPress.com weblog      &laquo; Short assignment, due&nbsp;3/26 [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on Comment Problem Set #4, problem 3 by bayesrules</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/02/23/comment-on-the-third-problem/#comment-5</link>
		<dc:creator>bayesrules</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 19:56:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=98#comment-5</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ll outline the procedure. The likelihood is $latex (4\lambda)^{y_i} e^{-4\lambda}$ where $latex y_i$ is the number of units sold in geographic area $latex i$. The priors for the two areas are different, but are gammas with (for example in area 1) parameters 144 and 2.4, so in this instance $latex p(\lambda_1)=\lambda_1^{144-1}e^{-2.4\lambda_1}$. Multiplying prior times likelihood we get another gamma, this time with parameters $latex 144+y_1$ and $latex 2.4+4$. So to get a sample on $latex \lambda_1$ simply use the R function rgamma with these parameters to generate a large sample $latex \{\lambda_1^j\}, j=1,...,N$

Similarly generate a sample of $latex \lambda_2^j$&#039;s of the same size.

Subtract 1.5 times the samples of the $latex \lambda_2$&#039;s from the samples of the $latex \lambda_1$&#039;s to get a sample of the differences. To do this, subtract 1.5 times the first component of sample #2 from the first component of sample #1, and so forth, to get a sample of differences, again of length N. This can be done by simply subtracting 1.5 times the second vector from the first. Then in R, the proportion of the difference that is greater than 0 is the answer you want.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ll outline the procedure. The likelihood is <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%284%5Clambda%29%5E%7By_i%7D+e%5E%7B-4%5Clambda%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='(4\lambda)^{y_i} e^{-4\lambda}' title='(4\lambda)^{y_i} e^{-4\lambda}' class='latex' /> where <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=y_i&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='y_i' title='y_i' class='latex' /> is the number of units sold in geographic area <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=i&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='i' title='i' class='latex' />. The priors for the two areas are different, but are gammas with (for example in area 1) parameters 144 and 2.4, so in this instance <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=p%28%5Clambda_1%29%3D%5Clambda_1%5E%7B144-1%7De%5E%7B-2.4%5Clambda_1%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='p(\lambda_1)=\lambda_1^{144-1}e^{-2.4\lambda_1}' title='p(\lambda_1)=\lambda_1^{144-1}e^{-2.4\lambda_1}' class='latex' />. Multiplying prior times likelihood we get another gamma, this time with parameters <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=144%2By_1&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='144+y_1' title='144+y_1' class='latex' /> and <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=2.4%2B4&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='2.4+4' title='2.4+4' class='latex' />. So to get a sample on <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Clambda_1&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\lambda_1' title='\lambda_1' class='latex' /> simply use the R function rgamma with these parameters to generate a large sample <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5C%7B%5Clambda_1%5Ej%5C%7D%2C+j%3D1%2C...%2CN&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\{\lambda_1^j\}, j=1,...,N' title='\{\lambda_1^j\}, j=1,...,N' class='latex' /></p>
<p>Similarly generate a sample of <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Clambda_2%5Ej&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\lambda_2^j' title='\lambda_2^j' class='latex' />&#8217;s of the same size.</p>
<p>Subtract 1.5 times the samples of the <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Clambda_2&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\lambda_2' title='\lambda_2' class='latex' />&#8217;s from the samples of the <img src='http://l.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Clambda_1&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\lambda_1' title='\lambda_1' class='latex' />&#8217;s to get a sample of the differences. To do this, subtract 1.5 times the first component of sample #2 from the first component of sample #1, and so forth, to get a sample of differences, again of length N. This can be done by simply subtracting 1.5 times the second vector from the first. Then in R, the proportion of the difference that is greater than 0 is the answer you want.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>Comment on Comment Problem Set #4, problem 3 by xyz</title>
		<link>http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/2009/02/23/comment-on-the-third-problem/#comment-4</link>
		<dc:creator>xyz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 14:10:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bayesrules.wordpress.com/?p=98#comment-4</guid>
		<description>Can you post solution of this example??</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Can you post solution of this example??</p>
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